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2018年12月5日 — With the arrival of Bank President John Williams from the San Francisco Fed, we're now running—and sharing the output of—models he helped ...
2023年5月20日—R-Star為中性實質利率或稱自然實質利率，為聯準會達成最大就業與穩定物價目標下，最適宜的實質利率水準。R-Star是一個不存在的虛擬利率，它代表了一個 ...
2023年5月19日—R-Star是一個不存在的虛擬利率，它代表了一個理想的情況，當現實生活中利率在這個數值附近的時候，資金的供需情況比較均衡，產出缺口比較閉合。新冠疫情 ...
2023年7月3日—Mostr-starmeasuresfocusonestimatesoftheinflation-expectations-adjusted3-monthratefiveto10yearsout.Thismedium-runhorizon ...
2019年11月26日—Inarecessionaryenvironment,r-staristhepointbelowwhichtheFedwouldwanttosetthefedfundsrateifitwishespolicytobeaccommodative, ...
Theirapproachdefinesr-starastherealshort-terminterestrateexpectedtoprevailwhenaneconomyisatfullstrengthandinflationisstable.LWEstimates ...
TheLaubach-Williams(“LW”)andHolston-Laubach-Williams(“HLW”)modelsprovideestimatesofthenaturalrateofinterest,orr-star,andrelatedvariables.
2023年5月30日—ThelatestestimatepublishedonFridayshowsR-starwas1.14%inthefirstquarteroftheyear,accordingtothe'L-W'model,barelychanged ...
Amongeconomicpolicymakers,inofficialandacademicpapers,thenaturalrateofinterestisoftendepictedasr*("r-star")....ThepresidentoftheNewYorkFed, ...
2018年9月7日—InaspeechlastmonthFederalReserveChairJeromePowellvoiceddoubtsabouttheusefulnessofsomeofthekeyeconomicmeasures ...
2017年5月30日—The“natural”rateofinterest,orr-star(r*),istheinflation-adjusted,short-terminterestratethatisconsistentwithfulluseofeconomicresources ...
2023年10月3日—Knownbyeconomistsasr-star,ithasrisentoarangebetween1.75%and2%inourestimation,amarkedincreasefromthe0.5%thathad ...
2021年1月11日—AkeyconceptthatguidestheFederalReserve'smonetarypolicyisthenaturalrateofinterest,alsoknownasr-star.Thisreferstothereal, ...
Fromtheperspectiveofmonetarypolicymakers,akeyproblemwasthatestimatesofr-stararehighlyuncertain.Thiscanbeseeninther-starmeasuredeveloped ...
EvenNewYorkFedPresidentJohnWilliams,whohelpedpioneerestimatingr-star,recentlybemoanedthechallengesofusingthenaturalrateasaguidefor ...
Thereal,adjusted-for-inflationinterestrateistypicallyrepresentedineconomicmodelsbyalowercaser.Thenaturalrateofinterest,orthereal ...
2023年9月24日—ThetermR-starcomesfromeconomicmodelsthatplotthesupplyanddemandforloanablefundsinaneconomy.Botharedeterminedbyinflation- ...
2016年9月11日—Theequilibriumrealrateofinterest,orR*inthejargonofmacroeconomists,has...AnythingthatmatterstotheFedmatterstoallinvestors.
HerewediscusswhatR-starortherealneutralrateofinterestisandhowitaffectscentralbanksandtheirabilitytodetermineandexplainpolicy.
HerewediscusswhatR-starortherealneutralrateofinterestisandhowitaffectscentralbanksandtheirabilitytodetermineandexplainpolicy.
Theneutralrateofinterest(alsocalledthelong-runequilibriuminterestrate,thenaturalrateand,toinsiders,r-starorr*)istheshort-term ...
2023年5月3日—根據路透分析，Fed3月預測聯邦基金利率長期將達2.5%、長期通膨預估值也在2%，暗示Fed依舊認為長期R-Star約為0.5%。事實上，紐約聯儲總裁JohnWilliams4 ...
2023年9月5日—紐約聯準銀行將第二季的中性利率(R-Star)預估值，從第一季的0.68%下調至0.57%。R-Star最近達到的高峰是在2021年第四季的1.32%，當時在政府的大力支持 ...