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Most of us arent math whzizzes, and so our eyes glaze over when presented with lots of numbers. Thats what fakers count on when they pad expense reports, bolster their KPIs, and doctor charts at the quarterly review. Theyre all just numbers, right? Unless you have access to the original data, you just have to take their word for it.
Not quite. Theres a simple mathematical principle called Benfords Law that says numbers dont occur randomly in nature, and that makes it somewhat easier to know if youre looking at faked data.
Actually, when I say its simple, Im kind of exaggerating. It all comes from this equation, which predicts the probability of encountering any particular number at random:
How is that helpful? Well, this equation tells us that if you choose a number at random, it is going to be a 1 about 30% of the time. Thats pretty freaky; you might expect that the odds would be much closer to 1 in 9. Perhaps stranger: The number 9 is statistically less likely to turn up, which means that if youre getting creative with a chart in a PowerPoint deck, you should lay off the 9s if you want the data to look plausible.Actually, it isnt as spooky as it sounds; it all makes sense when you read the very accessible and plain-English article at SHIFT_beep[1]. Check it out and it youll definitely feel smarter. [via Lifehacker[2]]
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References SHIFT_beep (blog.stevemould.com) Lifehacker (lifehacker.com) Dave Johnson (www.cbsnews.com) View all articles by Dave Johnson on CBS MoneyWatch » (www.cbsnews.com) How to Do Everything with Your Digital Camera (www.amazon.com)2011年3月3日—AnewbookfromStudio360'sexecutiveproducerofferstipsondoingourbestwork--nomatterwhatkindofworkwedo.
2011年3月7日—Twobusinessschoolprofessorsfindthatsolvingproblemsforothers,ratherthanourselves,makesusmorecreative.
2011年3月7日—Twobusinessschoolprofessorsfindthatsolvingproblemsforothers,ratherthanourselves,makesusmorecreative.
2022年3月8日—So,yes,youcanuseittoexplainthings,butyoualsohavetoappreciatethefactthatarthistoryitselfisadisciplinewithobviouslysome ...
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2011年5月10日—Theexperimentinvolvedmorethan500computerprogrammers,eachofwhomhadaTopCoderranking.Eachprogrammerwaspairedwiththeprogrammer ...
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2004年5月13日—...designandothersbybrillianteruptionsofcreativity?...weekthewildlyinnovativeComputerScienceandArtificialIntelligenceLabs ...
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